← The AP voters, graded

Tom Murphy's report card

Arkansas Democrat-Gazette · AP Top 25 voter · 8 ballots this season, 6 graded · @TomMurphyADG

GradeDfrom the season rank
Season#56 of 68AP voters
Record79-28favorites alone: 75.0 wins
vs favorites+4.0wins above chalk
vs the published pollBehindthe poll: 82-24 (+7.4) · beat it 2 of 6 weeks

This week's ballot (Week 7 poll, released Oct 18, grades after the games)

vs the Week 6 ballot · 2 new · out: Mississippi State, Oklahoma State
#TeamLast weekThe AP poll
1Miami▲ 1AP 1
2Ohio State▲ 2AP 3 ▲ 1
3Georgia▼ 2AP 5 ▲ 2
4BYU▲ 4AP 2 ▼ 2
5Texas Tech▲ 1AP 8 ▲ 3
6Ole Miss▲ 3AP 7 ▲ 1
7Notre Dame▼ 4AP 4 ▼ 3
8Indiana▼ 3AP 6 ▼ 2
9Utah▲ 1AP 10 ▲ 1
10Tennessee▲ 5AP 11 ▲ 1
11UCLA▲ 3AP 9 ▼ 2
12Iowa▲ 1AP 15 ▲ 3
13Wake Forest▲ 5AP 17 ▲ 4
14Kentucky▲ 5AP 12 ▼ 2
15LSU▲ 5AP 18 ▲ 3
16Texas▼ 9AP 19 ▲ 3
17Alabama▼ 6AP 13 ▼ 4
18Houston▲ 3AP 14 ▼ 4
19USC▼ 2AP 16 ▼ 3
20Northwestern▲ 2AP 24 ▲ 4
21SMU▲ 2AP 23 ▲ 2
22FloridaNEWAP 20 ▼ 2
23AuburnNEWAP NR
24Missouri▼ 12AP 22 ▼ 2
25Oregon=AP NR

Last week = the spot on this voter's previous ballot. The AP poll = the published consensus the same week; ▲ means this voter has the team higher than the poll.

Every ballot, week over week (8 ballots, 42 teams)

TeamPreW1W2W3W4W5W6W7
Miami22143321
Ohio State11666642
Georgia33221113
BYU1213121010984
Texas Tech1091087865
Ole Miss81197121196
Notre Dame76554437
Indiana54415558
Utah151514121110109
Tennessee1616131117181510
UCLA····20191411
Iowa2220231815211312
Wake Forest·····241813
Kentucky······1914
LSU·771413122015
Texas653322716
Alabama1112119871117
Houston252525···2118
USC1417161523231719
Northwestern······2220
SMU2422182424252321
Florida·232423917·22
Auburn·······23
Missouri2321191622161224
Oregon410201714132525
Mississippi State····162016·
Oklahoma State······24·
Duke····1814··
Pittsburgh····2115··
Nebraska·····22··
Cincinnati····19···
Penn State1918171325···
Oklahoma13142119····
Washington18192220····
Louisville···21····
West Virginia···22····
Texas A&M98825····
Virginia··15·····
Arizona State·24······
Michigan17·······
Clemson20·······
Vanderbilt21·······

Yellow = moved up or came in that week. Boxed = moved down. · = not ranked.

Graded weeks

Week 7 (Week 6 poll)

#1 of 70 · 12-5 · 0.0 · poll -1.4

Best call: Ole Miss over Missouri, 31-3 (42% going in). Worst miss: Georgia over Auburn, lost 27-24 (88% going in).

#TeamThat week
1GeorgiaL 24-27
2MiamiW 43-35
3Notre DameL 24-28
4Ohio StateW 19-15
5IndianaL 15-19
6Texas TechW 53-25
7TexasL 24-27
8BYUW 28-24
9Ole MissW 31-3
10UtahW 27-24
11AlabamaL 10-26
12MissouriL 3-31
13Iowa—
14UCLAW 17-7
15TennesseeW 26-10
16Mississippi StateL 0-31
17USC—
18Wake ForestW 41-7
19KentuckyW 21-13
20LSUW 31-0
21HoustonW 35-32
22NorthwesternW 24-21
23SMUW 23-13
24Oklahoma StateL 32-35
25OregonW 17-14

Week 6 (Week 5 poll)

#66 of 70 · 12-6 · -0.9 · poll +0.9

Best call: Georgia over Alabama, 20-17 (22% going in). Worst miss: Texas over Oklahoma, lost 27-24 (80% going in).

#TeamThat week
1GeorgiaW 20-17
2TexasL 24-27
3Miami—
4Notre DameW 58-7
5IndianaW 20-17
6Ohio StateW 45-16
7AlabamaL 17-20
8Texas Tech—
9BYUW 24-10
10UtahW 41-24
11Ole MissW 52-17
12LSUL 34-35
13OregonL 15-17
14DukeL 25-28
15PittsburghL 17-21
16MissouriW 27-6
17FloridaL 19-38
18TennesseeW 24-17
19UCLAW 17-15
20Mississippi State—
21IowaW 41-24
22NebraskaL 17-20
23USCW 31-23
24Wake ForestW 38-14
25SMU—

Week 5 (Week 4 poll)

#65 of 70 · 12-3 · +1.8 · poll +3.4

Best call: Pittsburgh over Virginia Tech, 35-33 (45% going in). Worst miss: Florida over Missouri, lost 45-17 (62% going in).

#TeamThat week
1GeorgiaW 38-14
2Texas—
3MiamiW 41-13
4Notre DameW 37-26
5IndianaW 47-15
6Ohio StateW 31-14
7Texas TechW 29-7
8AlabamaW 56-23
9FloridaL 17-45
10BYUW 17-10
11Utah—
12Ole Miss—
13LSU—
14Oregon—
15IowaL 14-31
16Mississippi StateL 23-56
17TennesseeW 24-14
18Duke—
19CincinnatiL 7-34
20UCLA—
21PittsburghW 35-33
22MissouriW 45-17
23USCW 25-21
24SMUW 25-16
25Penn StateL 13-34

Week 4 (Week 3 poll)

#59 of 69 · 12-7 · -1.4 · poll +0.2

Best call: Iowa over Michigan, 20-19 (34% going in). Worst miss: Penn State over Wisconsin, lost 24-20 (86% going in).

#TeamThat week
1IndianaW 29-23
2GeorgiaW 41-13
3TexasW 20-17
4MiamiW 52-3
5Notre DameW 49-10
6Ohio StateW 42-19
7Ole MissL 28-52
8Texas TechW 49-14
9AlabamaW 49-18
10BYU—
11TennesseeL 17-20
12UtahW 31-17
13Penn StateL 20-24
14LSUW 35-6
15USCL 27-41
16MissouriL 24-31
17OregonW 41-27
18IowaW 20-19
19OklahomaL 13-41
20WashingtonL 24-27
21LouisvilleL 27-30
22West VirginiaL 24-41
23FloridaW 52-28
24SMUW 34-24
25Texas A&ML 6-35

Week 3 (Week 2 poll)

#45 of 68 · 16-4 · +1.3 · poll +1.1

Best call: BYU over Colorado State, 41-23 (38% going in). Worst miss: Texas A&M over Kentucky, lost 31-21 (91% going in).

#TeamThat week
1MiamiW 33-20
2GeorgiaW 45-17
3TexasW 30-6
4IndianaW 38-0
5Notre DameW 27-10
6Ohio StateW 59-3
7LSUL 24-32
8Texas A&ML 21-31
9Ole MissW 32-24
10Texas TechW 28-26
11AlabamaW 50-36
12BYUW 41-23
13TennesseeW 42-9
14UtahW 33-0
15VirginiaL 27-38
16USCW 42-35
17Penn StateW 55-13
18SMUL 31-41
19MissouriW 27-17
20Oregon—
21OklahomaW 14-6
22Washington—
23Iowa—
24FloridaW 44-39
25HoustonL 26-28

Week 2 (Week 1 poll)

#17 of 69 · 15-3 · +3.1 · poll +3.1

Best call: Missouri over Kansas, 38-21 (41% going in). Worst miss: Oklahoma over Michigan, lost 17-10 (61% going in).

#TeamThat week
1Ohio StateL 23-24
2Miami—
3GeorgiaW 70-20
4Indiana—
5TexasW 24-23
6Notre DameW 52-0
7LSUW 45-14
8Texas A&MW 48-20
9Texas TechW 35-24
10OregonL 31-39
11Ole MissW 41-9
12AlabamaW 45-17
13BYUW 28-17
14OklahomaL 10-17
15UtahW 43-10
16TennesseeW 45-24
17USCW 49-30
18Penn StateW 27-9
19WashingtonW 16-14
20IowaW 16-13
21MissouriW 38-21
22SMU—
23Florida—
24Arizona StateL 20-48
25Houston—

Green = the call was right (the higher-ranked team won). Ballots come from the AP's published voter ballots and grade on the games after each poll's release.