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The Desk · ranked by 1Q

The Desk

Not a writer in a random city. Your whole group chat, graded.

  1. 1

    Place teams

    Tap a tier, S to D, for every team you have an opinion on.

  2. 2

    Make picks

    Cover or Dog every week, plus a Lock. Every graded pick moves your 1Q.

  3. 3

    Earn 1Q

    Everyone starts at 100. Good pickers climb.

  4. 4

    Count

    The top 20% by 1Q set the official board.

Sign in to vote

Weekly tiers

Update every week. Move teams as they win and lose. Flagged rows had an upset or a bad loss, so take another look.

Sign in to vote. Every vote counts on the Crowd board. Pick well and it counts on the official one.

The Desk

Ranked by 1Q. You need 55 graded picks to be ranked (40% of the 137 offered so far, never under 10). Counts = on the official board: the top 20% of voters by 1Q, qualified pickers first, never fewer than 5 (5 of 6 voters now).

  1. 1Bryce Morgan@byubryce · BYU · Tier board12-8 ATS · Picks 34-39 · Weighted 89.4-58.7Picks calibration 0.93CountsHomer −5 yds on BYU1171Q
  2. 2mwrightmdw@mwrightmdw · Michigan · Tier board13-7 ATS · Picks 51-36 · Weighted 69-48Picks calibration 1.24No tiers yet1141Q
  3. 3Chad Smith@csmitty · BYU · Tier board9-6 ATS · Picks 31-42 · Weighted 66.5-53.3Picks calibration 0.98CountsESPN MachineHomer −5 yds on BYU1091Q

Not enough picks yet

Grey 1Q is provisional. It ranks once you reach 55 graded picks.

  1. —waytoofuckinggeeked 🤑@thirdeyeopened · Tier boardPicks 9-5 · Weighted 51.5-16.341 more graded picks to qualifyPicks calibration 1.10Counts136Provisional 1Q
  2. —Bill S@mildbill88 · Tier board5-0 ATS · Picks 12-5 · Weighted 18-633 more graded picks to qualifyPicks calibration 1.00No tiers yet122Provisional 1Q
  3. —Lane Leishman@lennylee41 · BYU · Tier boardPicks 12-538 more graded picks to qualifyPicks calibration 1.00No tiers yet115Provisional 1Q
  4. —Reagan Nickl@thats_so_reagan · BYU · Tier board3-2 ATS · Weighted 7.5-2.550 more graded picks to qualifyCountsHomer +5 yds on BYU113Provisional 1Q
  5. —Connor Pardoe@pardoe · Utah · Tier board8-2 ATS · Weighted 8-445 more graded picks to qualifyNo tiers yet110Provisional 1Q
  6. —Ben Neff@neff7 · Tier boardPicks 10-7 · Weighted 11-738 more graded picks to qualifyPicks calibration 1.00No tiers yet108Provisional 1Q
  7. —Conner Ogden@cogden · Utah · Tier board7-7-1 ATS · Picks 16-15 · Weighted 28-229 more graded picks to qualifyPicks calibration 1.00No tiers yet108Provisional 1Q
  8. —Jagged Ice@grin_and_berrett · Tier board7-4-1 ATS · Picks 8-7 · Weighted 17-1328 more graded picks to qualifyPicks calibration 1.00No tiers yet107Provisional 1Q
  9. —indysportsfan01@indysportsfan01 · Tier boardPicks 1-054 more graded picks to qualifyPicks calibration 1.00No tiers yet103Provisional 1Q
  10. —Andrew Bean@coolbeans · Tier boardNo graded picks · Weighted 1-055 more graded picks to qualifyCounts103Provisional 1Q
  11. —Michael Steele@mqsteele · Tier boardPicks 8-740 more graded picks to qualifyPicks calibration 1.00No tiers yet102Provisional 1Q
  12. —Taylor L@loomis · Utah · Tier boardNo graded picks · Weighted 0.3-055 more graded picks to qualify101Provisional 1Q

Tier boards

Every analyst's running tier board, week by week, next to the true Top 25.

How 1Q works

  1. Start at 100. That is a 50% picker with 30 average picks already on the book: 15 right, 15 wrong.
  2. Every graded pick joins them. A hit adds 1 to the right side, a miss adds 1 to the wrong side. A Lock counts 2×, hit or miss. A push doesn't count.
  3. A miss weighs the same as a hit. Cover or Dog is a side against the spread, so a guesser is right half the time and stays at 100. An Upset pick that lands pays the spread ÷ 7 in the Picks standings, but in 1Q a hit is a hit.
  4. Do the math. Hit rate = (hits + 15) ÷ (picks + 30). 1Q = 100 + 200 × (hit rate − 50%). Floor 50, ceiling 200.
  5. Qualify. You need 55 graded picks to be ranked, like a batting title. Until then your 1Q shows in grey.
  6. Count. The top 20% of voters by 1Q set the official board, qualified pickers first, never fewer than 5. Everyone else is the Crowd.
RecordWeighted1Q
5-0one Lock, hit6-0117not ranked yet: 5 of 55 picks
13-7Locks 2-215-9111ranked
12-8Locks 3-115-9111ranked
Picks 6-12a coin-flipper's third6-1288misses weigh half

Why 13-7 and 12-8 can both be 111: the 12-8 picker hit 3 of 4 Locks, the 13-7 picker 2 of 4. Each Lock counts twice, so both land at 15-9 weighted. Equal 1Q shares a rank; the better plain record is listed first.

Bias tags come from your Field ballot. Homer: 10+ yds kinder to your own team than the board. ESPN Machine or SEC Denier: SEC teams 6+ yds off the board. Pumper or Hater: 8+ yds on another league. Your own team's vote counts half.