Pat Welter's report card
WRAL · AP Top 25 voter · 8 ballots this season, 6 graded · @PatrickWelter
This week's ballot (Week 7 poll, released Oct 18, grades after the games)
vs the Week 6 ballot · 3 new · out: Mississippi State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma| # | Team | Last week | The AP poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Miami | ▲ 1 | AP 1 |
| 2 |  Ohio State | ▲ 5 | AP 3 ▲ 1 |
| 3 |  BYU | ▲ 8 | AP 2 ▼ 1 |
| 4 |  Georgia | ▼ 3 | AP 5 ▲ 1 |
| 5 |  Notre Dame | ▼ 2 | AP 4 ▼ 1 |
| 6 |  Indiana | ▼ 2 | AP 6 |
| 7 |  Ole Miss | ▲ 1 | AP 7 |
| 8 |  Texas Tech | ▲ 2 | AP 8 |
| 9 |  Utah | ▲ 3 | AP 10 ▲ 1 |
| 10 |  UCLA | ▼ 1 | AP 9 ▼ 1 |
| 11 |  Tennessee | ▲ 5 | AP 11 |
| 12 |  Kentucky | ▲ 3 | AP 12 |
| 13 |  Iowa | ▲ 4 | AP 15 ▲ 2 |
| 14 |  Alabama | ▼ 9 | AP 13 ▼ 1 |
| 15 |  Missouri | ▼ 1 | AP 22 ▲ 7 |
| 16 |  USC | ▲ 2 | AP 16 |
| 17 |  LSU | ▲ 4 | AP 18 ▲ 1 |
| 18 |  Florida | ▲ 5 | AP 20 ▲ 2 |
| 19 |  SMU | NEW | AP 23 ▲ 4 |
| 20 |  Wake Forest | ▲ 2 | AP 17 ▼ 3 |
| 21 |  Houston | ▲ 3 | AP 14 ▼ 7 |
| 22 |  Arizona | ▲ 3 | AP 25 ▲ 3 |
| 23 |  Northwestern | NEW | AP 24 ▲ 1 |
| 24 |  Texas | ▼ 18 | AP 19 ▼ 5 |
| 25 |  Auburn | NEW | AP NR |
Last week = the spot on this voter's previous ballot. The AP poll = the published consensus the same week; ▲ means this voter has the team higher than the poll.
Every ballot, week over week (8 ballots, 39 teams)
| Team | Pre | W1 | W2 | W3 | W4 | W5 | W6 | W7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Ohio State | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 2 |
| BYU | 16 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 3 |
| Georgia | 5 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Notre Dame | 2 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Indiana | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| Ole Miss | · | 5 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| Texas Tech | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| Utah | 21 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| UCLA | · | · | · | · | 21 | 21 | 9 | 10 |
| Tennessee | 18 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 11 |
| Kentucky | · | · | · | · | · | 22 | 15 | 12 |
| Iowa | · | 20 | 20 | 22 | 13 | 19 | 17 | 13 |
| Alabama | 10 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| Missouri | 20 | 21 | 14 | 23 | · | 10 | 14 | 15 |
| USC | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| LSU | 8 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 17 |
| Florida | 17 | · | · | 25 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 18 |
| SMU | 19 | 22 | 21 | · | 22 | · | · | 19 |
| Wake Forest | · | · | · | · | 23 | 25 | 22 | 20 |
| Houston | 25 | 23 | 24 | · | 25 | · | 24 | 21 |
| Arizona | · | · | · | · | · | · | 25 | 22 |
| Northwestern | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 23 |
| Texas | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 24 |
| Auburn | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 25 |
 Mississippi State | · | · | · | · | 11 | 14 | 13 | · |
 Oklahoma State | · | · | · | · | 16 | 16 | 19 | · |
 Oklahoma | 13 | 10 | 19 | 19 | · | · | 20 | · |
 Oregon | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 | · | · |
 Pittsburgh | · | · | · | 24 | 24 | 23 | · | · |
 Duke | · | · | · | 16 | 20 | 24 | · | · |
 Michigan | 14 | · | 18 | 14 | · | · | · | · |
 Penn State | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | · | · | · | · |
 Louisville | 22 | 18 | 22 | 17 | · | · | · | · |
 Texas A&M | 9 | 12 | 10 | 20 | · | · | · | · |
 Virginia | · | · | 23 | · | · | · | · | · |
 Washington | 23 | 16 | · | · | · | · | · | · |
 Boise State | · | 25 | · | · | · | · | · | · |
 Clemson | 24 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
Yellow = moved up or came in that week. Boxed = moved down. · = not ranked.
Graded weeks
Week 7 (Week 6 poll)
#65 of 70 · 7-7 · -3.1 · poll -1.4Best call: Ole Miss over Missouri, 31-3 (42% going in). Worst miss: Georgia over Auburn, lost 27-24 (88% going in).
| # | Team | That week |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | L 24-27 |
| 2 | Miami | W 43-35 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | L 24-28 |
| 4 | Indiana | L 15-19 |
| 5 | Alabama | L 10-26 |
| 6 | Texas | L 24-27 |
| 7 | Ohio State | W 19-15 |
| 8 | Ole Miss | W 31-3 |
| 9 | UCLA | W 17-7 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | W 53-25 |
| 11 | BYU | W 28-24 |
| 12 | Utah | W 27-24 |
| 13 | Mississippi State | L 0-31 |
| 14 | Missouri | L 3-31 |
| 15 | Kentucky | W 21-13 |
| 16 | Tennessee | W 26-10 |
| 17 | Iowa | — |
| 18 | USC | — |
| 19 | Oklahoma State | L 32-35 |
| 20 | Oklahoma | L 13-21 |
| 21 | LSU | W 31-0 |
| 22 | Wake Forest | W 41-7 |
| 23 | Florida | W 27-24 |
| 24 | Houston | W 35-32 |
| 25 | Arizona | — |
Week 6 (Week 5 poll)
#67 of 70 · 12-7 · -1.4 · poll +0.9Best call: Indiana over Nebraska, 20-17 (37% going in). Worst miss: Texas over Oklahoma, lost 27-24 (80% going in).
| # | Team | That week |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | L 24-27 |
| 2 | Alabama | L 17-20 |
| 3 | Georgia | W 20-17 |
| 4 | Miami | — |
| 5 | Notre Dame | W 58-7 |
| 6 | Indiana | W 20-17 |
| 7 | Ohio State | W 45-16 |
| 8 | LSU | L 34-35 |
| 9 | Ole Miss | W 52-17 |
| 10 | Missouri | W 27-6 |
| 11 | Texas Tech | — |
| 12 | Utah | W 41-24 |
| 13 | BYU | W 24-10 |
| 14 | Mississippi State | — |
| 15 | Florida | L 19-38 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | W 42-28 |
| 17 | Oregon | L 15-17 |
| 18 | USC | W 31-23 |
| 19 | Iowa | W 41-24 |
| 20 | Tennessee | W 24-17 |
| 21 | UCLA | W 17-15 |
| 22 | Kentucky | W 35-34 |
| 23 | Pittsburgh | L 17-21 |
| 24 | Duke | L 25-28 |
| 25 | Wake Forest | W 38-14 |
Week 5 (Week 4 poll)
#12 of 70 · 14-1 · +3.5 · poll +3.4Best call: Pittsburgh over Virginia Tech, 35-33 (45% going in). Worst miss: Florida over Missouri, lost 45-17 (62% going in).
| # | Team | That week |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | — |
| 2 | Miami | W 41-13 |
| 3 | Georgia | W 38-14 |
| 4 | Notre Dame | W 37-26 |
| 5 | Indiana | W 47-15 |
| 6 | Alabama | W 56-23 |
| 7 | Florida | L 17-45 |
| 8 | Ole Miss | — |
| 9 | LSU | — |
| 10 | Ohio State | W 31-14 |
| 11 | Mississippi State | L 23-56 |
| 12 | Texas Tech | W 29-7 |
| 13 | Iowa | L 14-31 |
| 14 | Utah | — |
| 15 | BYU | W 17-10 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | — |
| 17 | Oregon | — |
| 18 | USC | W 25-21 |
| 19 | Tennessee | W 24-14 |
| 20 | Duke | — |
| 21 | UCLA | — |
| 22 | SMU | W 25-16 |
| 23 | Wake Forest | W 57-3 |
| 24 | Pittsburgh | W 35-33 |
| 25 | Houston | W 27-17 |
Week 4 (Week 3 poll)
#60 of 69 · 10-6 · -1.4 · poll +0.2Best call: Texas over Tennessee, 20-17 (46% going in). Worst miss: Penn State over Wisconsin, lost 24-20 (86% going in).
| # | Team | That week |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | W 20-17 |
| 2 | Ole Miss | L 28-52 |
| 3 | Miami | W 52-3 |
| 4 | Notre Dame | W 49-10 |
| 5 | Georgia | W 41-13 |
| 6 | Indiana | W 29-23 |
| 7 | LSU | W 35-6 |
| 8 | Ohio State | W 42-19 |
| 9 | Texas Tech | W 49-14 |
| 10 | USC | L 27-41 |
| 11 | BYU | — |
| 12 | Alabama | W 49-18 |
| 13 | Tennessee | L 17-20 |
| 14 | Michigan | L 19-20 |
| 15 | Penn State | L 20-24 |
| 16 | Duke | — |
| 17 | Louisville | L 27-30 |
| 18 | Oregon | W 41-27 |
| 19 | Oklahoma | L 13-41 |
| 20 | Texas A&M | L 6-35 |
| 21 | Utah | W 31-17 |
| 22 | Iowa | W 20-19 |
| 23 | Missouri | L 24-31 |
| 24 | Pittsburgh | — |
| 25 | Florida | W 52-28 |
Week 3 (Week 2 poll)
#48 of 68 · 16-4 · +1.1 · poll +1.1Best call: BYU over Colorado State, 41-23 (38% going in). Worst miss: Texas A&M over Kentucky, lost 31-21 (91% going in).
| # | Team | That week |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | W 30-6 |
| 2 | LSU | L 24-32 |
| 3 | Miami | W 33-20 |
| 4 | Indiana | W 38-0 |
| 5 | Notre Dame | W 27-10 |
| 6 | Georgia | W 45-17 |
| 7 | Ole Miss | W 32-24 |
| 8 | Ohio State | W 59-3 |
| 9 | Texas Tech | W 28-26 |
| 10 | Texas A&M | L 21-31 |
| 11 | Alabama | W 50-36 |
| 12 | USC | W 42-35 |
| 13 | BYU | W 41-23 |
| 14 | Missouri | W 27-17 |
| 15 | Tennessee | W 42-9 |
| 16 | Oregon | — |
| 17 | Penn State | W 55-13 |
| 18 | Michigan | W 52-17 |
| 19 | Oklahoma | W 14-6 |
| 20 | Iowa | — |
| 21 | SMU | L 31-41 |
| 22 | Louisville | W 41-31 |
| 23 | Virginia | L 27-38 |
| 24 | Houston | L 26-28 |
| 25 | Utah | W 33-0 |
Week 2 (Week 1 poll)
#7 of 69 · 16-3 · +3.5 · poll +3.1Best call: Boise State over Memphis, 38-20 (36% going in). Worst miss: Oklahoma over Michigan, lost 17-10 (61% going in).
| # | Team | That week |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSU | W 45-14 |
| 2 | Miami | — |
| 3 | Indiana | — |
| 4 | Ohio State | L 23-24 |
| 5 | Ole Miss | W 41-9 |
| 6 | Oregon | L 31-39 |
| 7 | Texas | W 24-23 |
| 8 | Notre Dame | W 52-0 |
| 9 | Georgia | W 70-20 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | L 10-17 |
| 11 | Texas Tech | W 35-24 |
| 12 | Texas A&M | W 48-20 |
| 13 | USC | W 49-30 |
| 14 | Alabama | W 45-17 |
| 15 | BYU | W 28-17 |
| 16 | Washington | W 16-14 |
| 17 | Penn State | W 27-9 |
| 18 | Louisville | — |
| 19 | Tennessee | W 45-24 |
| 20 | Iowa | W 16-13 |
| 21 | Missouri | W 38-21 |
| 22 | SMU | — |
| 23 | Houston | — |
| 24 | Utah | W 43-10 |
| 25 | Boise State | W 38-20 |
Green = the call was right (the higher-ranked team won). Ballots come from the AP's published voter ballots and grade on the games after each poll's release.