← The AP voters, graded

Jon Wilner's report card

San Jose Mercury News · AP Top 25 voter · 8 ballots this season, 6 graded · @wilnerhotline

GradeAfrom the season rank
Season#6 of 68AP voters
Record85-24favorites alone: 76.9 wins
vs favorites+8.1wins above chalk
vs the published pollAheadthe poll: 82-24 (+7.4) · beat it 4 of 6 weeks

This week's ballot (Week 7 poll, released Oct 18, grades after the games)

vs the Week 6 ballot · 2 new · out: Mississippi State, USC
#TeamLast weekThe AP poll
1Ohio State▲ 1AP 3 ▲ 2
2BYU▲ 8AP 2
3Georgia▼ 2AP 5 ▲ 2
4Indiana▲ 4AP 6 ▲ 2
5Miami▲ 1AP 1 ▼ 4
6Ole Miss▲ 1AP 7 ▲ 1
7Notre Dame▼ 3AP 4 ▼ 3
8Utah▲ 1AP 10 ▲ 2
9UCLA▲ 2AP 9
10Texas Tech▲ 4AP 8 ▼ 2
11Alabama▼ 8AP 13 ▲ 2
12Wake Forest=AP 17 ▲ 5
13Kentucky▲ 4AP 12 ▼ 1
14Tennessee▲ 9AP 11 ▼ 3
15Iowa▲ 1AP 15
16Texas▼ 11AP 19 ▲ 3
17HoustonNEWAP 14 ▼ 3
18LSU▲ 4AP 18
19Arizona▲ 2AP 25 ▲ 6
20Boise State▼ 2AP 21 ▲ 1
21Oklahoma State▼ 8AP NR
22Oregon▲ 2AP NR
23Northwestern▲ 2AP 24 ▲ 1
24SMUNEWAP 23 ▼ 1
25Missouri▼ 5AP 22 ▼ 3

Last week = the spot on this voter's previous ballot. The AP poll = the published consensus the same week; ▲ means this voter has the team higher than the poll.

Every ballot, week over week (8 ballots, 39 teams)

TeamPreW1W2W3W4W5W6W7
Ohio State54232221
BYU111211101110102
Georgia45543413
Indiana8777151284
Miami76665665
Ole Miss17111326776
Notre Dame11354547
Utah··17129998
UCLA·25··2323119
Texas Tech2315181414141410
Alabama1213108103311
Wake Forest····17151212
Kentucky······1713
Tennessee··252322242314
Iowa·21··20211615
Texas231111516
Houston19··1521··17
LSU6249782218
Arizona2123·22·222119
Boise State1817241919181820
Oklahoma State25·221718161321
Oregon310231813112422
Northwestern·····252523
SMU1620122524··24
Missouri·····192025
Mississippi State····121715·
USC108813161319·
Florida····820··
Virginia Tech24···25···
Louisville·181511····
Penn State20161616····
Michigan15·2020····
West Virginia···21····
Western Michigan·241924····
Texas A&M14149·····
Virginia·1914·····
Oklahoma9921·····
Washington1322······
New Mexico22·······

Yellow = moved up or came in that week. Boxed = moved down. · = not ranked.

Graded weeks

Week 7 (Week 6 poll)

#18 of 70 · 10-6 · -1.4 · poll -1.4

Best call: Ole Miss over Missouri, 31-3 (42% going in). Worst miss: Georgia over Auburn, lost 27-24 (88% going in).

#TeamThat week
1GeorgiaL 24-27
2Ohio StateW 19-15
3AlabamaL 10-26
4Notre DameL 24-28
5TexasL 24-27
6MiamiW 43-35
7Ole MissW 31-3
8IndianaL 15-19
9UtahW 27-24
10BYUW 28-24
11UCLAW 17-7
12Wake ForestW 41-7
13Oklahoma StateL 32-35
14Texas TechW 53-25
15Mississippi StateL 0-31
16Iowa—
17KentuckyW 21-13
18Boise State—
19USC—
20MissouriL 3-31
21Arizona—
22LSUW 31-0
23TennesseeW 26-10
24OregonW 17-14
25NorthwesternW 24-21

Week 6 (Week 5 poll)

#21 of 70 · 15-5 · +1.1 · poll +0.9

Best call: Indiana over Nebraska, 20-17 (37% going in). Worst miss: Texas over Oklahoma, lost 27-24 (80% going in).

#TeamThat week
1TexasL 24-27
2Ohio StateW 45-16
3AlabamaL 17-20
4GeorgiaW 20-17
5Notre DameW 58-7
6Miami—
7Ole MissW 52-17
8LSUL 34-35
9UtahW 41-24
10BYUW 24-10
11OregonL 15-17
12IndianaW 20-17
13USCW 31-23
14Texas Tech—
15Wake ForestW 38-14
16Oklahoma StateW 42-28
17Mississippi State—
18Boise StateW 38-31
19MissouriW 27-6
20FloridaL 19-38
21IowaW 41-24
22ArizonaW 52-31
23UCLAW 17-15
24TennesseeW 24-17
25NorthwesternW 45-14

Week 5 (Week 4 poll)

#37 of 70 · 14-2 · +2.6 · poll +3.4

Best call: BYU over TCU, 17-10 (56% going in). Worst miss: Florida over Missouri, lost 45-17 (62% going in).

#TeamThat week
1Texas—
2Ohio StateW 31-14
3GeorgiaW 38-14
4Notre DameW 37-26
5MiamiW 41-13
6Ole Miss—
7LSU—
8FloridaL 17-45
9Utah—
10AlabamaW 56-23
11BYUW 17-10
12Mississippi StateL 23-56
13Oregon—
14Texas TechW 29-7
15IndianaW 47-15
16USCW 25-21
17Wake ForestW 57-3
18Oklahoma State—
19Boise StateW 37-18
20IowaL 14-31
21HoustonW 27-17
22TennesseeW 24-14
23UCLA—
24SMUW 25-16
25Virginia TechL 33-35

Week 4 (Week 3 poll)

#8 of 69 · 15-5 · +1.0 · poll +0.2

Best call: Oklahoma State over West Virginia, 41-24 (29% going in). Worst miss: Penn State over Wisconsin, lost 24-20 (86% going in).

#TeamThat week
1TexasW 20-17
2Ole MissL 28-52
3Ohio StateW 42-19
4GeorgiaW 41-13
5Notre DameW 49-10
6MiamiW 52-3
7IndianaW 29-23
8AlabamaW 49-18
9LSUW 35-6
10BYU—
11LouisvilleL 27-30
12UtahW 31-17
13USCL 27-41
14Texas TechW 49-14
15HoustonW 42-28
16Penn StateL 20-24
17Oklahoma StateW 41-24
18OregonW 41-27
19Boise StateW 32-7
20MichiganL 19-20
21West VirginiaL 24-41
22ArizonaW 34-24
23TennesseeL 17-20
24Western MichiganL 7-32
25SMUW 34-24

Week 3 (Week 2 poll)

#45 of 68 · 16-4 · +1.3 · poll +1.1

Best call: BYU over Colorado State, 41-23 (38% going in). Worst miss: Texas A&M over Kentucky, lost 31-21 (91% going in).

#TeamThat week
1TexasW 30-6
2Ohio StateW 59-3
3Notre DameW 27-10
4LSUL 24-32
5GeorgiaW 45-17
6MiamiW 33-20
7IndianaW 38-0
8USCW 42-35
9Texas A&ML 21-31
10AlabamaW 50-36
11BYUW 41-23
12SMUL 31-41
13Ole MissW 32-24
14VirginiaL 27-38
15LouisvilleW 41-31
16Penn StateW 55-13
17UtahW 33-0
18Texas TechW 28-26
19Western MichiganW 28-21
20MichiganW 52-17
21OklahomaW 14-6
22Oklahoma State—
23Oregon—
24Boise State—
25TennesseeW 42-9

Week 2 (Week 1 poll)

#14 of 69 · 15-2 · +3.5 · poll +3.1

Best call: Boise State over Memphis, 38-20 (36% going in). Worst miss: Oklahoma over Michigan, lost 17-10 (61% going in).

#TeamThat week
1Notre DameW 52-0
2LSUW 45-14
3TexasW 24-23
4Ohio StateL 23-24
5GeorgiaW 70-20
6Miami—
7Indiana—
8USCW 49-30
9OklahomaL 10-17
10OregonL 31-39
11Ole MissW 41-9
12BYUW 28-17
13AlabamaW 45-17
14Texas A&MW 48-20
15Texas TechW 35-24
16Penn StateW 27-9
17Boise StateW 38-20
18Louisville—
19Virginia—
20SMU—
21IowaW 16-13
22WashingtonW 16-14
23ArizonaL 17-28
24Western Michigan—
25UCLAW 28-10

Green = the call was right (the higher-ranked team won). Ballots come from the AP's published voter ballots and grade on the games after each poll's release.