Report card · 5 graded weeks · 144 games
1QA vs. the AP
When 1QA and the AP disagreed
7-9
1QA called 44% of the games where the two polls picked different winners.
Net record on disagreements
Ranked head-to-head
1QA 14-12
AP 13-12
Both polls get most of these right.
Calibration (Brier)
0.227
Lower is better. A coin flip scores 0.250.
Against the spread · noisy
76-62
Sharp bettors hit about 53%. Expect this to wander.
Week by week
Calibration
When 1QA says 70%, those teams should win about 70% of the time.
| 1QA said | Games | Avg call | Actually won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 45 | 55% | 42% |
| 60–70% | 37 | 66% | 54% |
| 70–80% | 39 | 74% | 59% |
| 80%+ | 23 | 86% | 96% |
Every disagreement
16 games · show all
- IOWA 41 @ WASH 241QA WASH · AP IOWAAP right
- IU 20 @ NEB 171QA NEB · AP IUAP right
- UGA 20 @ ALA 171QA ALA · AP UGAAP right
- USC 31 @ PSU 231QA PSU · AP USCAP right
- OSU 19 @ IU 151QA IU · AP OSUAP right
- MSST 0 @ LSU 311QA LSU · AP MSST1QA right
- UK 21 @ OU 131QA OU · AP UKAP right
- OKST 32 @ HOU 351QA HOU · AP OKST1QA right
- MISS 27 @ TEX 341QA TEX · AP MISS1QA right
- WIS 0 @ IOWA 301QA IOWA · AP WIS1QA right
- NU 26 @ ORE 341QA ORE · AP NU1QA right
- ALA 31 @ LSU 131QA LSU · AP ALAAP right
- UK 6 @ TENN 341QA TENN · AP UK1QA right
- MIA 24 @ ND 311QA ND · AP MIA1QA right
- UGA 42 @ MISS 71QA MISS · AP UGAAP right
- IOWA 24 @ NU 101QA NU · AP IOWAAP right